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Wednesday, February 24, 2021

The Regular Divergence (1) -- Bullish Divergence

 Stock price is lower low, but indicator is higher low. This divergence can be a trading opportunity.


Regular divergence, price and stochastic
Regular divergence, price and stochastic



Tips:
  • This is forex, not a stock. But the tips should apply as well.
  • 2014 apr 28, price and stochastic have divergence.
  • Stochastic is to value price momentum. Use 8,3,3 as the parameter can wipe out some market noise.
  • The divergence is a regular divergence. Over 200 ma, should have bias of doing uptrend. Hence, for regular divergence, should only trade when price is lower low, but indicators is higher low.
  • If below 200 ma, should be reverse, which is for regular divergence, should only trade when price is higher high, but indicator is lower high.
  • The price also dropped on 50 ma, more probable to bounce back.
  • Stochastic works only for a range price move. For strong trend, not working. Here the value is about 20, and not in a strong trend swing, means oversold. More probable to bounce back.
  • There is also a horizontal support below the price.
  • Over all these, a strong buy hint is here.

 Zoom in:


Stock price divergence. Price lower low, but stochastic higher low




RSI divergence
RSI divergence

  • The arrows show RSI divergence.
  • Price is lower low, but RSI indicator is higher low. One factor to long it.
  • The price hit 200 ma on 2019 oct 2, more chance to bounce back.




MACD divergence
MACD divergence

  • The arrows show MACD divergence.
  • Price is lower low or almost same price, but MACD indicator is higher low. One factor to long it.
  • Here the MACD divergence is double divergence. That means both MACD lines and MACD histograms are divergence.
  • The price falls below 200 ma on 2018 dec 26 or so, but the falling momentum stops. Can see a morning star here.  More chance to bounce back after the price climb up 200 ma again.






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